We have received payment for the content in this article. Learn more.
This season’s MotoGP calendar is well underway, with Ducati flying high in the constructors’ standings ahead of Repsol Honda, while on the individual front Marc and Álex Márquez are battling it out.
But if you want to stay informed when making betting decisions om the race outcomes, there are a number of key things to understand.
The influence of track conditions and designs
It’s always been the case that some riders perform better (or worse) in specific weather conditions than others, and it’s important to know which track stars excel in which conditions to give your wagers a better chance of returning a profit.
Some riders are far stronger on circuits with particular types of surface or tracks with specific features such as numerous chicanes or types of corners. So it’s no surprise that MotoGP teams carefully examine and analyse each track to prepare for the race, and then use specific strategies for where they are.
So what are these factors?
- Chicanes and corners – the average speed of the race can be determined by what types of chicanes and corners a track has. Some corners are considered slow, fast or tight, which impacts overtaking opportunities and can be a challenge for some riders.
- Track changes or new features – MotoGP teams and riders must constantly adapt to a range of variables, such as the recent laying of a track surface, the addition of new features to the track, or modifications to the layout.
- Elevation changes – MotoGP bike acceleration and handling can be impacted by the length and elevation of hills (up and down).
- Length of track – shorter circuits may not require such complex gearing strategies compared with longer ones.
What other factors are there?
Track surface conditions can also influence betting outcomes and impact rider performance. For example, tyre wear and grip can be significantly affected by factors such as sand, dirt and dust on the track surface, which must be regularly assessed by teams before and during racing.
The quality of the surface can also be impacted by how often it’s used. For example, lesser-used tracks are typically of higher quality and better to race on than overused tracks, no matter how well these frequently used tracks are maintained.
You also have to consider the track temperature, which can affect tyre performance. Extremely hot or cold temperatures on race day can also impact how well the engine performs, requiring teams to make constant adjustments. Various adverse weather conditions, such as abnormal dryness, heavy rain and strong winds can also influence team strategies.
Which MotoGP rider is most likely to prevail this season… and where can I find the safest sites with the best odds?
Based on the latest odds and current standings, the rider who will most likely come out on top this season is Marc Márquez, with his younger brother Álex next, followed by third favourite Francesco Bagnaia, and then Franco Morbidelli.
Marc Márquez is currently priced, on average, at around 1/20 in the fractional odds format. That means he has a whopping 95.20% chance (implied probability rate) of winning the driver’s championship outright. In decimal odds, 1/20 equates to 1.05, and in American/moneyline odds, it’s 2000.
In comparison, second favourite Álex Márquez is currently priced at around 11/1 (12.00 or +1.100) with only an 8.30% implied probability rate. Other popular bet types typically available in MotoGP races are race winner, podium finish, pole position, head-to-head matchups and futures betting (e.g. betting on championships, seasons, or future race outcomes).
The quickest, safest and easiest way to find a safe online sports betting site with regular MotoGP markets is to see what the experts recommend on the official askgamblers.com iGaming review site. It has a complete database of handpicked sportsbooks that are well-known for having some of the industry’s most highly competitive odds.
This page also has a list of other popular sports to bet on in 2025, with trusted recommendations for some of today’s safest online sports betting and casino sites. The best thing to do is to compare several of their reviews before deciding which site to join and make sure that any ones you choose to register an account with have a CasinoRank score of 6.00 or greater, and have earned the Certificate of Trust seal of approval.
Whatever you do, and however you approach your MotoGP betting, you can make more informed betting decisions when you have information about current form (finding out how well they have done over at least the past three to five races), team strategy, bike performance, track characteristics, the weather, tyre choices, how well drivers perform on specific tracks, and so on.
Gamble responsibly by setting a reasonable spending budget before betting. Besides that, try to take advantage of session time reminders, deposit limits and any other safer gambling tools that your chosen sportsbook operator provides.
Finally, try to stay on top of the latest MotoGP news and look for things like technical updates, team news and rider injuries, as well as following qualifying and practice sessions.
Just like in other global sports, MotoGP betting can also be influenced by broader financial and logistical factors. In football, for example, teams like Manchester City are facing unexpected financial complications due to international tournaments, highlighting how even off-track developments can impact strategic decisions in elite sports.
